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You are not logged in. #76 20130401 23:02:31
Re: rat run probabilityWhat is that formula about? 'And fun? If maths is fun, then getting a tooth extraction is fun. A viral infection is fun. Rabies shots are fun.' 'God exists because Mathematics is consistent, and the devil exists because we cannot prove it' 'Who are you to judge everything?' Alokananda #77 20130401 23:09:52
Re: rat run probabilityHe used Bayes theorem to find the answer without simulation. It is 1 / 13 , verified by simulation. In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #78 20130401 23:11:40
Re: rat run probabilityHow do you use Bayes Theorem? 'And fun? If maths is fun, then getting a tooth extraction is fun. A viral infection is fun. Rabies shots are fun.' 'God exists because Mathematics is consistent, and the devil exists because we cannot prove it' 'Who are you to judge everything?' Alokananda #79 20130401 23:17:38
Re: rat run probabilityIt is pretty much a plug in to a formula. We will need the solution to a which is 2 / 13 and some notation. Ready? In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #80 20130401 23:20:07
Re: rat run probabilityYou also need the solution to b). The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #81 20130401 23:22:45
Re: rat run probabilityb) he has by a nice piece of reasoning to be 1 / 2. In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #82 20130401 23:26:32
Re: rat run probabilityI saw it. But I am not sure it must be true. How do you know that all exits have the same probability of being exited through? The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #83 20130401 23:29:57
Re: rat run probabilityI checked his answer using a markov chain and it also agreed with his simulation. In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #84 20130401 23:34:02
Re: rat run probabilityI am not saying that the answer of 1/2 is not correct. Just that the reasoning you guys used might not be sound (I am referring to the one where you claim that the probability is 1/2 because two halves of the exits are on 3). The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #85 20130401 23:40:01
Re: rat run probabilityThe simulation and the Markov chain is what I base the 1/2. But his idea does appear to work. In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #86 20130401 23:55:05
Re: rat run probabilityd)i) seems to be around 0.246... The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #87 20130402 00:01:08
Re: rat run probabilityYou might be right I do not know yet. In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #88 20130402 00:03:35
Re: rat run probabilityThe number's are varying a lot. I am getting stuff from 0.246 to 0.2464 . The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #89 20130402 00:07:59
Re: rat run probabilityIf that is a simulation, that is not a big variation. In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #90 20130402 00:09:20
Re: rat run probabilityI bigger one (10 million tries) gave 0.246225. The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #91 20130402 00:11:28
Re: rat run probabilityYou can easily determine the accuracy of that answer. In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #92 20130402 00:13:08
Re: rat run probabilityHow? The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #93 20130402 00:19:18
Re: rat run probabilityYou can be pretty sure that the true answer lies between those two numbers, In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #94 20130402 00:24:01
Re: rat run probabilityWhy is that? The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #95 20130402 00:26:56
Re: rat run probabilityIt is based on statistics using the standard deviation. In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #96 20130402 00:32:00
Re: rat run probabilityAnyway... Do you have an idea what the exact answer might be? The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #97 20130402 00:38:44
Re: rat run probabilityHi; In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. #98 20130402 01:30:57
Re: rat run probabilityOkay. Post if you get anything... The limit operator is just an excuse for doing something you know you can't. “It's the subject that nobody knows anything about that we can all talk about!” ― Richard Feynman “Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Crime and Punishment #99 20130402 05:43:20
Re: rat run probability
Yes! 'And fun? If maths is fun, then getting a tooth extraction is fun. A viral infection is fun. Rabies shots are fun.' 'God exists because Mathematics is consistent, and the devil exists because we cannot prove it' 'Who are you to judge everything?' Alokananda #100 20130402 07:15:47
Re: rat run probabilityHi Agnishom; In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them. I have the result, but I do not yet know how to get it. All physicists, and a good many quite respectable mathematicians are contemptuous about proof. 