Discussion about math, puzzles, games and fun. Useful symbols: ÷ × ½ √ ∞ ≠ ≤ ≥ ≈ ⇒ ± ∈ Δ θ ∴ ∑ ∫ • π ƒ ¹ ² ³ °
 

You are not logged in. #1 20060124 07:58:06
More fair way of drawing. Re: probability.Hey everyone. #2 20060124 08:24:41
Re: More fair way of drawing. Re: probability.I am not great with probabilities, but I have an idea that would be much fairer to everyone involved than either of the two methods above. It might take a little longer however, but then again you guys are going to be in a bar anyway. #3 20060124 09:17:12
Re: More fair way of drawing. Re: probability.I think there's an equal probability of everyone winning, it's just that it wouldn't be as exciting for the people who go last because they'll know what they're going to get. Why did the vector cross the road? It wanted to be normal. #4 20060124 09:32:54
Re: More fair way of drawing. Re: probability.
Well Stated! "The physicists defer only to mathematicians, and the mathematicians defer only to God ..."  Leon M. Lederman #5 20060124 09:39:32
Re: More fair way of drawing. Re: probability.Guys, I think your missing the point. grifta67 made it pretty clear that these guys really want to get the number 30. If your the last in rotation, your odds are significantly lower (before anyone has picked) than the guy who picks first. Obviously if the first nine guys miss it you will technically have the best statistical chance on your particular pick out of the ten. #7 20060124 10:05:39
Re: More fair way of drawing. Re: probability.
No, the chance of anyone getting it is always 1/30. Why did the vector cross the road? It wanted to be normal. #8 20060124 10:15:22
Re: More fair way of drawing. Re: probability.Thanks, I realized that after posting and then punching the numbers into my calculator. I never would have thought that instinctively. Maybe the guys he hangs out with think the same way at a gut level. Last edited by irspow (20060124 10:18:11) #9 20060125 05:16:26
Re: More fair way of drawing. Re: probability.Well this is the first time I've ever been to this forum, and I must say you've all amazed me. That you all would put a fair amount of thought (actually breaking out calculators!) into my comrades' silly little bar drawing is astounding! 