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Lets say the game is mostly chance but there is a certain aspect of skill, like 20% of the game would be skill and 80% absolute game of chance.

like blackjack for example, some players do the wrong things and then the bank has a bigger chance of winning, normally their advantage is 20% but with a bad player its 35% advantage.

If that makes sense... There is a certain aspect of skill but not a lot only 20%

I would say its subjective probability because there is some skill in the game.

Does that change anything?

Lets say the game is 20% skill

Ok great thanks.

So his chance is 1 in a million to win two in a row, so if we had to add this onto the question.

The chances he has of winning 3 competitions in a row where each of them he has a 1 in 1000 chance of winning.

This would be 1000* 1000*1000 = 1 a in a billion chance?

arent there some other factors that make his chances higher, i mean if winning the lotto is a one in a 175 million chance i would think winning three in row where theer are 1 in 1000 chances would give him better chances... If you know what i mean..

**jasonbosche**- Replies: 7

Should someone enter into a competition where he has a 1 in 1000 chance of winning, then as a winner gets entered into a second competition where he has a 1 in 1000 chance of winning what would the probability of him winning the second competition?

Is it as simple as 1000 * 1000? Or is it 2 in 2000?

I am lost please help!

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