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#26 2017-05-10 00:35:23

zetafunc
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Re: 2015 UK General Election

The Crown Prosecution Service has just ruled that no Tories will be charged following the Tory election expenses investigation, in spite of the claims that 30 MPs breached electoral law by overspending in their campaigns two years ago.

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#27 2017-05-22 06:47:02

zetafunc
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Re: 2015 UK General Election

Major developments. The Conservatives recently released their manifesto, and it has been met with public fury: some polls are now only giving the Conservatives a single-digit lead over Labour. Last week, the bookies were offering 14/1 on Jeremy Corbyn to be the next Prime Minister. Those have now been slashed, with some offering as little as 4/1. It is possible that we might just see an upset.

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#28 2017-05-23 08:27:17

zetafunc
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Re: 2015 UK General Election

Campaigning has officially been suspended indefinitely due to the tragic terrorist attack in Manchester last night, which killed at least 22 and left at least 120 injured, many of whom were young children.

Last edited by zetafunc (2017-05-23 08:30:08)

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#29 2017-05-25 23:50:13

zetafunc
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Re: 2015 UK General Election

Campaigning has been resumed (I thought it had been suspended indefinitely as per a Wiki article). The Conservatives are polling at 43%, Labour are on 38%, Lib Dems on 10%, UKIP on 4%. If this trend continues, we could see a hung parliament (and gives a majority of just 2 seats when translated into votes).

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#30 2017-05-31 10:02:58

zetafunc
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Re: 2015 UK General Election

Two shock YouGov polls suggest we are headed for a hung Parliament. The first is done using a different modelling technique to all the other previous polls and uses a very large sample size (50000+). It shows Conservatives barely edging out Labour, 41-38. Another using their usual modelling technique gives 42-39. The polling is weighted such that older votes are given more weight since they are far more likely to vote, compared to younger votes who are far less likely to vote. However, pundits suggest that because of Corbyn's popularity amongst younger voters, we could see a larger turnout among young people.

The electoral calculus still suggests a Tory majority, but it has been cut down to just 88 compared to the near-200 majority it was predicting just three weeks ago.

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#31 2017-06-09 21:46:32

zetafunc
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Registered: 2014-05-21
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Re: 2015 UK General Election

Final results:

Conservatives - 318
Labour - 262
SNP - 35
Lib Dems - 12
DUP - 10
Sinn Fein - 7
Others - 6

Result: Hung parliament. Conservatives short 8 seats of a majority.

It is understood that Theresa May will attempt to form a Conservative minority government with some sort of deal with the DUP, possibly a confidence and supply agreement.

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