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#201 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 22:46:31

Use my gmail address. However I have noticed that your emails to me do reach me on the other
email address anyway. However for emails that I send to you I have no choice but to use gmail.
Either that or post here obviously.

The email to Bob probably did work and he is probably busy, but I'm not sure.

#202 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 18:55:56

I have decided to move the post about converting between metres to cm here to make it easier to
find:

(1) Convert 5.48 metres into cm.

Method:

Multiply by the conversion factor of 100.

So 5.48 x 100 = 548cm

Answer: 548cm

(2) Convert 390cm into metres.

Method:

Divide by 100 to invert the above conversion.

390 / 100 = 3.9m

Answer: 3.9m

Right a few for you to try:

(1) Convert 7 metres into cm.

(2) Convert 60 metres into cm.

(3) Convert 5000 cm into metres.

(4) Convert 400 cm into metres.

(5) Convert 20.4 metres into cm.

(6) 9643 centimetres into metres.

#203 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 18:54:18

Right I have now sent an email from the gmail account. See if you have got it....

#204 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 18:48:14

I am not sure why but my emails seems to send okay but you do not get them.
I have not had any error message like "delivery failure".
I could try using my gmail account if you like.

#205 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 18:34:43

Okay I will send a very short email to you now.
Right done that.

Also have you read the post above by the way ?

#206 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 08:36:35

I think that is a good idea, but that may have to wait until tomorrow. I suggest we leave it there for today.

There are two sets of questions that I made up, one in April and one in May. In wonder whether
you received them:
Re: About time next week (21st April 2013)
Fractions Percentages and Other Questions (17th May 2013)

Did you get the two emails that I have given the title and date of above ?
On the 20th and 21st June a sent answers to both. Did you get the answers by email ?

#207 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 08:26:39

I have sent another email in which I have copied and pasted the exact form of that email address above and as far as I can
see it is exactly the email address I have been using to email you for about 4 months.

EDIT: Following a recent test email to myself I think that my email software thinks that my
own email is spam. This supports the anti-spam software theory, but does not prove it.
For my email to you it would be most likely your email provider and your email software that
might class it as spam possibly also your ISP if different to the email provider.

#208 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 08:11:22

Okay let me know what you find out. If need be I can post exercises and other things on this MIF thread.

#209 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 07:42:57

I have edited post #1171 with my latest theory, but really I don't know at the moment.

I am going to try pasting this post into an email to see if you can get it. Let me know what happens.....

#210 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 07:34:05

EDIT: I have now moved the conversion copy to the next page to make it easier to see.

#211 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 07:31:36

I am not sure, but I think that your email receiving is accidentally deleting many of the emails I send.
I did send them, but you say that you have not got them.

Anti-spam software is not perfect it could very easily class a non spam item as spam,
or class a piece of spam as not spam and let it through.

With the email software I have it lets me choose what to download based upon headers - usually everything.
I have known the occassional good email get classed as spam by the email software.

Also ISPs do sometimes delete massive amounts of spam using clever software of their own.
I wonder if they have accidentally deleted some of my emails to you. If so I cannot do anything about it.

Also I notice that you have used two computers to send email on (if I am understanding things correctly).
Therefore are you always checking both computers when you receive an email ?

#212 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 07:21:13

Could the email be sometimes going to the blackberry and sometimes to the "compaq" computer?

I am also wondering whether there was an over-zealous spam filter accidentally deleting a whole load of my or your emails.

That would explain a lot if it had.

SteveB

#214 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-22 06:41:41

I have sent you an email about centimetres/metres conversion.

There are 6 questions for you to have a go at. Let me know when you have either done them or got stuck.

Bye.

SteveB

#215 Re: Help Me ! » How can I extract integers from an integer series ? » 2013-07-22 06:38:17

I am not sure exactly which bit you are stuck on but make sure you deal with ALL cases.

In other words something like:

(1) Suppose the customer borrows before the peak rate starts, but returns before the peak rate starts.
(2) Suppose the customer borrows before the peak rate starts, but returns after the peak rate starts, but before it ends.
(3) Suppose the customer borrows before the peak rate starts and returns after the peak rate ends.

(4) Suppose the customer borrows during the peak rate period and returns during the peak rate period.
(5) Suppose the customer borrows during the peak rate period and returns after the end of the peak rate period.

(6) Suppose the customer borrows during the period after the peak rate and ends the loan after the peak rate.

(7) Suppose the loan occurs over 1 day, 2 days, more than 2 days.

In each case make sure you test the condition, use an if statement (not sure how that works in PHP), and does the right
thing in each and every case. The time periods concerned can be done by simply (end time of section - start time of section) in
seconds, and then converted by a factor if needed, remembering to add together all of the chunks if appropriate, if there is only
one piece of time then it is just the one bit, but if there are several then I'm afraid you have go through them somehow and add them.
No maths function is really going to help. So a computer program is needed using if constructs, procedures, method calls,
(or whatever is used in PHP) or whatever is appopriate in the language(s) used.
I suggest setting up variables and constants with meaningful identifiers for ALL of the relevant things to do with time
and rate of charge for each printer.

I am not sure whether you realised that the time stamps appear to be seconds since 01/01/1970.
I apologise if any of that is wrong so double check all of it if it is for a serious purpose like a real business or serious Computer studies.

#216 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-21 21:47:08

One possibility is now ?
Alternatively you might want to wait until the evening at about 7pm perhaps ?

#217 Re: Help Me ! » Mandy Jane's Corner » 2013-07-21 21:38:39

Hi. Yes the weather is hot in the UK another 29-30C heatwave. The grass is getting rather dry.
Anyway I am ready to explain some maths when you are...

#218 Re: Help Me ! » Trigonometry » 2013-07-17 18:31:35

You have probably worked this out anyway by now but:

Please note that:

20*Tan(60) = 20 / (Tan(30)) = 36.64 (to 2 dp.) [Answer F]

I was trying to say that those two were the same: If you swap round the "opposite" and "adjacent" then you are using
the other (non right) angle. That is to say when you have three angles in a triangle where one is 90 the other two must
equal 90. So if you are given the angle that you would not have usually used you can either set up the opposite and
adjacent carefully (you have to do so anyway in fact) or calculate the other angle and do it the way you were.

(Also notice that Tan(A) * Tan(90-A) = 1 by the way - a thing I found out from another thread.)

I don't think any of the other possible choices were really going to be likely. 11.55 wasn't one of them for instance.
I suppose I didn't want to write that it was 'F' when I wrote the post because it would make things too easy.

#219 Re: Help Me ! » Trig - Help me! » 2013-07-16 19:35:11

tan(30) is 1/(square root of 3)

Not sure what is special about Tan(85). Looks like a rather horrible irrational number even when squared.

I do notice though that the other two multiply to leave 1.
(Tan(25) * Tan(65) = 1 I presume atran's trig. result proves it. Is this because 25+65 =90 ? and Tan(90-x) * Tan(x) = 1 etc.)

I notice that the gap between 85 and 90 is only 5. This is one sixth of the gap from 30 to zero.

I can tell from calculating the answer that it is not going to give us a whole number or the square root of a whole number.
Any idea what you are supposed to be trying to prove?

I have noticed that the angles 85 + 30 + 65 = 180

The three angles are interior angles of a triangle. I am not sure where this leads or whether it is relevant.

#220 Re: Help Me ! » Trigonometry » 2013-07-16 19:11:47

20. You have climbed to the top of a tall tree. When you get to the top, you use your clinometer to discover that the angle between the tree and the line of sight to your red lunchbox is 30o. You know you left the lunchbox 20 meters from the base of the tree. How tall is the tree? (Careful! This is a little different than the building problems!)

A 75.36 m
B 92.09 m
C 20.17 m
D 51.25 m
E 18.95 m
F 34.64 m

I am not sure whether the angle 30 is perhaps supposed to be the angle made with the vertical line of the tree and the line towards
the ground to the lunchbox . If this understanding is correct then you could work out the other angle using the fact that the
3 angles of a triangle add up to 180 meaning that if one is 90 then first do 180-90 to get the sum of the other two then
30 + 60 = 90
On this basis perhaps it is trying to lead to 20*Tan(60).

Notice you can get the same result by using h as the adjacent (with TAN) and 20 as opposite.
Tan (30) = opposite/adjacent
Tan (30) = 20 / h
h = 20 / (Tan(30)) = ...

Or with 60 degrees make sure that the "opposite" is indeed opposite the angle and do it that way.

It did wonder whether the hypotenuse was going to be 20 (direct line, rather than horizontal), but it does say the base of the
tree, and this would not fit any of the options anyway so that cannot be the case.
It might be a good idea to draw a diagram getting the measurements according to an approximate scale if you are not sure.
My first answer is one of the options, and I suppose if it is a tall tree the angle of 60 degrees from horizontal would be more likely.

#221 Re: Dark Discussions at Cafe Infinity » A very disturbing question... » 2013-07-10 07:37:34

Okay here goes my attempt at a strange nested multiple choice question:
(I may have to work on this one a bit because this is rather improvised.)
If this is a multiple choice question:
(
  If this is a multiple question:
What is the probability of a correct answer to this
(1)    25%
(2)    0%
(3)    25%
(4)    50%
)
What is the correct reason:
(1)    None of the available options are 100%
(2)    It is a recursive paradox
(3)    It is impossible, but 0% is an answer
(4)    25% is mentioned twice ambiguously
(5)    50% is also mentioned in case you are arguing that since 25% is there twice the answer is 50% this is also there so is 100% correct if this is your argument. 33.3 recurring is omitted.
(6)    All of those
(7)    The probability of this question being sound is not very high
(8)    The probability of this question being answered right is not great
(9)    Sorry that one was a comment not an option.
)
For the above how likely are you to get the answer to the outer bit right as a percentage?

I might have to work on that. Face it if you have chosen an answer then you have decided that it is 100% correct. You are therefore right and also wrong.
They should have that as an entrance question for something.
I always thought that mathematicians told the best jokes. That was a bad question on a number of levels.
smile

#222 Re: Dark Discussions at Cafe Infinity » A very disturbing question... » 2013-07-10 06:58:23

Agnishom wrote:

SteveB, did you read post 4? If you say that all of them are wrong, then it is 0%, so you may not say that either

Yes that was a good touch, because it creates a recursive problem where first 0% appears a good answer, then because it
could be argued to be correct then becomes wrong.

I sometimes resort to statistical answer at this point like "25% on the grounds of there being four answers", but you have
predicted that answer by making 25% two choices rather than one !! Obviously not possible for an exam question, but
if you have a creative licence then the questioner can do this as a brain teaser, joke or something.

(It reminds me of deadlock and livelock in Computer Science.
From memory many years ago I think that deadlock was more than one process queued "waiting for each other" in some way.
I think that livelock was supposed to mean an indefinite wait which is either rather too long, or held up for ever if made
an accidentally infinite wait. Those two defintions may not be strictly correct because I cannot remember the full details.)

I did think of another statistical way to define the answer based upon "a survey of the entire population" to give meaning to
the probability of getting the answer right, but it is personalised to the reader by the fact that it is whether "I" can get the
answer right or not. The answer to that is therefore not dependent upon the population (also there are about 7 billion of them
I doubt if all of them will be able to read, some may be born at any time etc etc etc. so of course you cannot ever literally
survey the entire planet or universe obviously).

Okay then can I survey myself. So do I have to answer the question an infinite number of times and give a precise answer
depending upon whether I am right or not in each case, and who do I ask to determine whether I am right? I cannot even
be sure whether I am right in ONE case let alone an indefinite number (infinity etc.) so I could estimate the probability
according to a hideous arbitrary function....

It also reminds me of "the set of all sets" which is defined to be not an allowable set because apart from being way too
big even for the number "infinite" to really sum the thing up if it contains the set containing all subsets including the
set itself then since it contains ALL things it must already contain sets that it could not have contained initially.
I don't think I can explain that one properly without looking up the reason given usually, but it would not be difficult
to make up a proof by contradiction that the set of all sets does not equal itself and therefore is not a well defined set.

I suppose you could perhaps if you created a "foundations of mathematics" style structure for an acceptable multiple
choice question reject your multiple choice on the grounds that the correct answer does not equal itself.:)

I think a paradox is when two true things appear to contradict each other.

What is even more funny is that if you did want to put this in a maths exam you would probably have to nest the multiple
choice bit within a question making clear that an answer was not enough, and that full marks would only be given for a
full answer not just literally "abracadabra: the answer is .... ".

Multiple choice has it's place in an exam, but imagine if they nest a multiple choice within another, testing the person
spotting the paradox and then choosing the correct reason why the thing is a paradox. That would be a good one.

#223 Re: Dark Discussions at Cafe Infinity » A very disturbing question... » 2013-07-10 04:59:50

It is possible to have an UNSOUND multiple choice rather than simply one that could be had to have "a non 100% percent chance
of you being considered correct by an infinitely* intelligent (imagined) person". (* = impossible in practice)

I have encountered this concept before, but for obvious reasons I shall not give a real example.

However I could easily make up a deliberately flawed multiple choice question about a factual subject:

What is the capital of France:
(1) Red
(2) Blue
(3) Purple
(4) Orange

Well none of them because all of those are colours, and we wanted a town for strarters, and we know that Paris is correct.
(Maybe there is a very very small chance that one could be argued to be correct due to a highly eccentric pseudo-course,
but if it were an ordinary thing like an exam then it would be an accidental error and considered unsound.
Bad for an exam because no student could ever be certain of getting the answer right about a matter of fact,
but on the other hand perhaps a strange history course might have said that a colour were the answer at some
point in history. Obviously this is NOT true, but if it were then it might be possible if that insight were both known and true.)

The question is not simply difficult, but impossible, because none of the choices is a satisfactory answer.

I would say that although you have created a very clever and amusing brain teaser in mathematics my answer would be:

Just like the above answer, although there is a paradox in yours and no paradox in mine, your question is a deliberately
unsound multiple choice in which is very possible that if you were to take a survey and work out a rough estimate of the
number of people that give the answers shown you could very easily get no answer at all being correct.

On the other hand: I suppose it could be that by an amazing coincidence one of them IS in fact correct fundamentally,
in which I may have to work upon my own definitions to make that better because otherwise a rare exception might
give a valid answer, but you would have to be Mystic Meg* to know what the answer would be.
(Not allowed for a hypothetical exam, but in terms of a brain teaser the questioner has a "licence" to think creatively.)

* = Replace with any fortune teller name of person thought of as able to predict the future precisely.
Mystic Meg is often used informally in the UK to refer to an imagined person able to predict the future to be able to
say "I'm not Mystic Meg" instead of "I am not a magician" and so on in appreciation of an astrologer with this psuedonym.
(Some of my questions are unsound by accident to be fair. None of us are right always.)

#224 Re: Dark Discussions at Cafe Infinity » Hypothesis tests and social science example » 2013-07-09 07:48:23

Here is my simple version of the problem to illustrate the distribution change caused by taking
the maximum of a uniform set:

Consider taking a set of n values from a set containing m integers.

Let us take a pair {1,2} from {1,2,3,4,5}.
You can always define a maximum of the set {1,2} in this case it is 2.
Therefore it is reasonable to ask: What is the median and/or mean maximum of the pair taken from {1,2,3,4,5}?

So the pairs are:
{1,2} {1,3} {1,4} {1,5}  [Maximums:2,3,4,5]
{2,3} {2,4} {2,5}           [Maximums:3,4,5]
{3,4} {3,5}                    [Maximums:4,5]
{4,5}                             [Maximum: 5]

So the mean is: 4
The list of 10 items is {2,3,3,4,4,4,5,5,5,5} so the median is 4 (slight variations are possible).
To the nearest integer you could call the 99th percentile 5, but conventions could make it
slightly lower. I have decided that 4.97 based upon 2 + (5-2)*0.99 is the most sensible way
of calulating a non-integer version of the 99th percentile. Unless I have misunderstood the
Wikipedia entry the formulas do not really work for this case and either you get a boring 5,
or a number that exceeds 5 which is obviously wrong or not a good idea. I notice that the normal
model of N(4,1) that is with mean=4 and variance=1 so standard deviation = 1, if you take
the value Z = 2.33 you get a silly value of 6.33 for the 99th percentile.
Obviously the normal model assumes a non bounded real valued domain, so I suppose things
that are likely to happen so 4.97 is my best attempt at this version of the problem. 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Regarding the more difficult problem with 12 months, 1000 sampled and maximums taken, then
estimate the 99th percentile of repeats.
Update:
I have written in Java using the Math.random() function (subject to any issues regarding the
degree of correctness of the random distribution from 0 to 1 of the random generator),
a simulation of 1000 iterations of 1000 sampled days of the year converted into a month.
It assumes that there are 28 days in February, and 30 or 31 days in the other months in the
usual way you would expect them in an ordinary western calendar (UK, USA, etc..). So a non leap year.
I have then selection sorted the list of 1000 runs, and looked at about the last 20 items in
the list and made a judgement upon things like (989th, 990th, 991st cases) - for 99th percentile.
then (995th and 996th cases) - for 99.5th percentile (more robust two tailed test).

My conclusion after 5 runs of this 1000 of 1000 simulation:
(1) The 99th percentile I was trying to describe is 113 (once 112, but 113 four times).
(2) The 99.5th percentile I was also looking for is 114 (twice 113, but 114 three times).
It looks like my original normal approximation in post #1 was correct in terms of the logic
of what I was thinking about. My test data that followed was a good borderline case.

The Chi-Squared answer is a good answer to a slightly different question.
If there were 12 colours {red,yellow,blue,green,orange,purple,brown,black,white,grey,pink,indigo}.
Let us suppose that 1000 people were surveyed and a test was done to see whether the result
could be a random set of equally likely (p = (1/12)) with the people asked to give their favourite,
then the Chi-Squared test would be a very good test to do.
Provided that it is acceptable to think of the months as categories rather than the fact that time
is a major feature and that they merge into each other gradually in terms of physical (eg. climate)
effects which are the scientific things that are thought to influence the thing being studied, the
Chi-Squared would have done, but really it does not model the situation well. For instance all
of the month devations are taken into account not just the 'maximum' month.

However the chance of an unnamed highest frequency being greater than a threshold T being set
so 1% then "what is the borderline theshold T?" would need my version of the problem.
Using this sort of analysis with data involving months is usually a study design weakness, but
perhaps there are exceptional cases when it is okay (I cannot think of any).

#225 Re: Dark Discussions at Cafe Infinity » Hypothesis tests and social science example » 2013-07-09 02:00:08

I think what I had meant really is perhaps initially to help understand things work out the distribution formula/formulas
of the maximum of the 12 values for the numbers in each month when distributed as you would expect when putting
1000 individuals randomly into the 12 categories.

Then to use this to work out the 99th percentile of the maximum of an arbitrary instance of 1000 individuals being randomly (uniformly)
put into 12 categories, or even according to the actual proportions of the months taking into account the exact number
of days. (The bit above is not really needed, but probably a good idea to try first if one were to try to calculate it exactly.)

Maybe it is better to say "Work out the 99th percentile having found a formula for the distribution of the maximum of a
given set from which 1000 people have been put into 12 categories in a way according to a uniform distrubution with
either equal proportions for all 12, or even more difficultly 12 non-equal proportions."

The answer is a single real number which should probably be rounded upwards to the nearest whole number above.
(A few rather vague guesses might be: 113, 129, 123 etc., but without more evidence I do not know. Chi-Squared does not
give the correct answer to this because it gives hypothesis analysis treating all 12 categories as potentially biassed and
it could be said that I am considering that either 11 are uniform and 1 is biassed or all 12 are uniform as the null hypothesis
this as I have explained is so ridiculous in real life contexts that I so far cannot think as to why a well designed serious
study should really do this, but an MIT lecture used something similar as a purposefully very bad example of a poor study design
since it "draws a dartboard around the result after the data was collected" or in my words either uses an unjustified unsound SP, or
leaves the statistician with the job of working out a suitable increased level of significance required to make the hypothesis
one which COULD still be rejected, but only if some very remarkable result were obtained where one month were very
unusual indeed. I am trying to formalise my attempt of dividing by 12 (or 24) the significance probability, but intuitively it needs
probably a very complicated adjustment, it is more difficult than I thought, and probably more like dividing SP (0.01) by 132 say.
The SP fudge factor may of course be an irrational number with factorials, square roots and all sorts all over the place.)

I suppose I have been taught the ground work to be able to program a computer to do a simulation, but it is rather
awkward - not something I would want to spend too long on, and not an entirely satisfactory answer even then.
If someone finds things like this easy or has a software package that can solve this in less than
30 minutes work (eg. bobbym perhaps if his software packages are very powerful indeed.)
then it would be interesting to see if you could answer this to help build my intuition.
If a serious course taught how to solve this they would probably want the algebra that proves
and/or illustrates why it works and a numerical answer (eg. 121) would not get any marks.
My intuition is this is of Masters Degree Level, but someone might prove me wrong. (I had intended it to be only A-Level or BSc)

I wonder whether the loaded dice formulas are of any use with this... (Here we go again...)
The problem is rather like trying to prove a matter concerning a 12 sided die by rolling it 1000 times.
I have tried looking at the biassed coin wikipedia page and I cannot really adapt it for this because
that is fine for two states (heads,tails) but not for {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12} - 12 states.
It is at least one level of difficulty above a problem that I found that the wiki site did something
that I did not understand and anonimnystefy did not really give a very full account of, but sounded
like he knew and understood about in the Exercises - Statistics thread some time ago. I can apply the formula,
but do not fully understand the derivation, and this would have to be made even more complex
to solve the full solution to the problem.
smile

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