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Very helpful again bobbym. thanks, I have one last question for you.
How did you run the simulation. Is this something I could run using excel or do you have a specific program that runs it for you?
Thanks,
I have some programming abilities, I can write VBA for excel macros for example, I can certainly understand Pseudocode.
Thanks
Thanks so much bobbym.
Could you elaborate on the probability generating function? I would like to be able to calculate the probability for a number of different scores ( 4,5,6,7). I may also end up changing the score probabilities and would like to know how to re-calculate if I do.
I really appreciate your help.
Cheers
Hi bobbym,
That is great, would you be able to guide me through how you got this answer?
Thanks
Good news bobbym,
If you are able to answer it or provide guidance to help answer it, please let me know .
Thanks again
Hi,
Thanks for the reply,
the values assign to P0, P1, etc are the likelihood that a player gets a particular score in a single game
P0 ( a score of 0)= .40 (40%)
P1 ( a score of 1)= .25 (25%)
P2 ( a score of 2)= .15 (15%)
P3 ( a score of 3)= .10 (10%)
P4 ( a score of 4)= .05 (5%)
P5 ( a score of 5)= .05 (5%)
So every times a player players the game they have a 40% chance of scoring 0, a 25% chance of scoring 1, a 15% chance of scoring 2 etc.
My question is If a player plays 6 games what is the probability that their combined score will be greater than 5 and what formula would you use to work this out?
Thanks
Hi,
I am trying to create a game where a player can score between 0 and 5 in a single game with the following probabilities
0 1 2 3 4 5
P0 P1 P2 P3 P4 P5
I am trying to come up with a formula that calculates
If a players plays x number of games, what is the probability that their combined score will be at least Y
Example
0 1 2 3 4 5
40 25 15 5 10 5
If a player plays 6 games what is the probability that their combined score will be greater than 5
Any help with this would be very much appreciated.
Thanks
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