Discussion about math, puzzles, games and fun. Useful symbols: ÷ × ½ √ ∞ ≠ ≤ ≥ ≈ ⇒ ± ∈ Δ θ ∴ ∑ ∫ π -¹ ² ³ °

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**Posts by ybot**

Send any file I could fill with these data, to my email

So, what can we do?

You can open an excel file anywhere

Bobbym, any reply?

I have just sentit in csv and excel

I could copy it to a word file

Yes, excel spreadsheet

Ok

Data sent

What details do you need from data?

I don't think so

To analize these data you must know other conceps about roulette.

We know that from 100 samples , about 68 will be below 1 sd, 95 below 2 sd and 99 below 3sd.

In our example we have got 1.4sd 4 times in a row of the same play as we witnessed in the first sample.

In case you need the actual data tell me a email to send it

br

Coming back

Let's more events.

You recieve a roulette sample. You scan it and find the best choice you should have played.

For example, it was playing 12 numbers after some signal. This play has got +3.4 standard deviations in the first 400 trials

We make 4 more 400-trial-samples. We have got +1.4sd on each of the 4 samples playing what we found succesful in the first sample.

Supose we take the first sample(+3.4sd) as a prior probability and the 4 new samples as posterior probability.

How do you calculate backwards probability using Bayes rules?

And, what do all this test mean to determine a chance of random?

Warm regards

Soon, with the error %.

Supose the ratio is 1/34 for the first 1000 trials, 1/35 for the 2nd 1000 trials, 1/33 at the 3rd 1000 and 1/33 at the 4th 1000 trials.

I guess we would be able to know the actual mean when we have 20k.

But the quest is to infer it sooner.

What are the math tool that you use?

I have tons of data

As I lack of strong math knoledge I´m trying to undestand the event I withness

How could inferencial statistics help to know I want?

Can you forward a roulette example where you use the correlation, the regression, the least square method and the student distribution?

ybot wrote:

Hi

About french european roulette

the chance to hit es 1/37supose we are looking for 3 standard deviation events

43 hits in 1000 trials is 3 st dev(we played 1 number)

1)what does reaching 3 st dev mean?

2)what is the difference in strentgh of hitting 76/2000, 170/5000 or 319/10000(they are all +3sd)

3)what´s the difference in PLAYING the 1000 2000 or whatever or watch some data where we you find 1 number with 3 st dev?

4)it is the same to reach 3 st dev for 1 number or 2 numbers(neighbors)?

5)having collectede data, you pick 4 numbers(isolated, not neighbors)) that their sum reaches 3 st dev. What is the difference with item 3) or if we actually play every spin?I hope you undestood my questions

I believe they are hard to answer

Best regards

We might start again.

What does 48/1000 tell?

What are the predictions for the play of this number?

What are the chances to repeat 48/1000? (from 44 to 50/1000)

We finished 3 pages with no conclusions.

The real edge isn´t 72.8%, the sample is very short to have a conclusion

Yes, we know the basics.

We know we win 35, we are paid 35+1(the one we placed).

36 to 1

48/1000 is +72.8% of the total wagged.

We have to know the real long term advantage

And, as a [deleted] you could have a range of advantage over other regular players.

How do you know when you have the edge and how much?

At a moment in the year/month/decade you can say that you have (for example) 5% edge over any other player or the house. How would you gauge it?

I undestand why you as yourself and think I'm mad.

I work with non-random events daily.

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**Posts by ybot**