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- bobbym
- 2013-04-01 13:43:10
A simulation is not enough, you have to interpret the results correctly. He probably did something like I did.
- anonimnystefy
- 2013-04-01 13:37:22
That is true. I wonder where his simulation went wrong.
- bobbym
- 2013-04-01 13:34:22
35% is much too high just by inspection.
- anonimnystefy
- 2013-04-01 13:33:08
We'll have to see what he did.
- bobbym
- 2013-04-01 13:28:11
I think his answer is way too high.
- anonimnystefy
- 2013-04-01 13:27:32
Ok. So, that answer is final? Then, we have to see how Agnishom did it.
- bobbym
- 2013-04-01 13:22:05
Yes I know, I am still cleaning it up in my notes and I cleaned the post.
- anonimnystefy
- 2013-04-01 13:13:15
Your code still isn't correct. Leaving from three is #[[3]]=1 not Last[#]3!
- bobbym
- 2013-04-01 13:11:23
The same answer I had originally by accident.
- anonimnystefy
- 2013-04-01 13:08:14
Well, there you have it. What is the new result?
- bobbym
- 2013-04-01 13:06:21
Hmmmm, hard to argue with that one. By golly I think you are right. I did not look at it that way.
- anonimnystefy
- 2013-04-01 13:01:36
That means that P(entered at 1|left at 3)=P(entered at 1 and left at 3)/P(left at 3).
- bobbym
- 2013-04-01 12:59:52
Yes, that is the definition.
- anonimnystefy
- 2013-04-01 12:57:46
And, do you agree that P(A|B)=P(A and B)/P(B)?
- bobbym
- 2013-04-01 12:56:10
Yes, that looks good.